Life expectancy

Tipperary are favourites today, and that is understandable given our lamentable semi-final record and their performance against Kilkenny last year. But the extent to which they are favourites – Paddy Power have us as 13/5 to win – is surprising, and strikes me as putting too much emphasis on events in the distant (relatively speaking) past. For if we look at the recent past, Waterford are surely better placed. If nothing else, we drew with them in the League. And since then we’ve beaten the team who pounded them into the ground. You could argue that they’ve impressed in coming through the back door, but have they really? The only team who gave them any resistance was Galway, and they came within a whisker of going out at that stage. That doesn’t mean I think we’re going to win today, but this is not a game where we’re going up to make up the numbers like we would in, er, the All-Ireland final. Any season where we win a trophy is inherently a successful one. I still want more though, and I’ll be disappointed if we don’t go further.